Aiden Singh
Biography
Aiden Singh (derived from the Sanskrit siṃha meaning 'lion') is the founder and publisher of the Social Science Encyclopedia.
He was a prediction market trader with a win ratio > 90% and has written about exploitable inefficiencies in the prediction markets which, coupled with leverage, allowed him to double his capital in a single set of trades.
He is currently a global equities trader. You can view a detailed timeline of his trades here.
Aiden is also currently a postgraduate neuroscience student at University College London (UCL).
He has written over 50 explainers on economic and political philosophy, economics, finance, constitutional law, and history.
Publications (Analysis)
A screenshot of a false story run by One American New Network claiming Trump won the 2020 electoral college vote.
Evidence of Prediction Market Inefficiency From PredictIt’s 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Markets
I argue that persistent and exploitable pricing anomalies were present in PredictIt’s 2020 U.S. presidential election prediction markets. I claim that these pricing inefficiencies were the result of a subset of market participants acting on misinformation which erroneously led them to conclude that Donald Trump had won the election. I conclude by discussing the implications of traders struggling to correctly distinguish relevant information from misinformation for the efficient market hypothesis.
Education
M.Sc. Political Science & Political Economy, London School of Economics
M.S. Computer Science, Hofstra University
B.A. Natural Sciences (Neuroscience & Computer Science), Hofstra University
B.S. Mathematical Business Economics, Hofstra University
Fields
Philosophy
Economics
Finance
Law
History
Topics
Prediction Markets
Market Inefficiencies
History of Economic Thought
Economic Methodology
Media
Social Science Encyclopedia, Founder & Publisher