Aiden Singh


Biography

Aiden Singh (derived from the Sanskrit siṃha meaning 'lion') is the CEO of the Lion group of enterprises, a real estate investor, global equities trader and investor, prediction market trader, writer, interviewer, and the founder and publisher of the Social Science Encyclopedia.

Real Estate

He is the founder and CEO of Lion Realty, a real estate management company.

Prediction Markets

Aiden was a prediction market trader and has written about exploitable inefficiencies in the prediction markets which, coupled with leverage, allowed him to double his capital in a single set of trades.

Financial Markets

He is currently a global equities trader & investor.

He predicted the surge in the price of crude oil above $100/barrel from 2020-2022. Additionally, he exited the position before its subsequent fall back below $100.

He also anticipated and shorted the stock market crash of 2022. He is the author of three forthcoming articles on this market crash: The Meme Asset Frenzy, which details the inflating and bursting of a bubble in meme assets, Shorting A Speculative Bubble: Notes For My Future Self, which discusses the mechanics of shorting a bubble in practice, and a third as-yet untitled essay which discusses how he detected the presence of a bubble and the implications for economic methodology.

On May 28, 2024, he published an article entitled The AI Bubble.

Writing

Aiden has written over 70 articles on economic and political philosophy, economics, finance, constitutional law, and history.


Interviews Published

Business

CEO, Lion Realty

CEO, Lion Capital

CEO, Lion Media

CEO, Lion IP

Education

M.Sc. Neuroscience, University College London

M.Sc. Political Science & Political Economy, London School of Economics (LSE)

M.S. Computer Science, Hofstra University

B.A. Natural Sciences (Neuroscience & Computer Science), Hofstra University

B.S. Mathematical Business Economics, Hofstra University

Fields

Philosophy

Economics

Finance

Law

History

Topics

Prediction Markets

Market Inefficiencies

Speculative Bubbles

Financial Crises

History of Economic Thought

Economic Methodology


Prediction Markets

Aiden was a prediction market trader and has written about exploitable inefficiencies in the prediction markets which, coupled with leverage, allowed him to double his capital in a single set of trades.

A 30-day price chart showing the market’s prediction for the 2020 election.


Publications

Speculative Bubbles

The AI Bubble. May 28, 2024.

The Meme Asset Frenzy. April 10, 2023

Prediction Markets

Evidence of Prediction Market Inefficiency From PredictIt’s 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Markets. August 28, 2022.

The Basics of PredictIt. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 23, 2020.

Economic Philosophy (Methodology)

Philosophy of Economics (Methodology) Timeline. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 19, 2020.

Colin Camerer on the Role of Neuroscience in Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. October 1, 2020

Definitions of Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 2, 2020.

Economic Imperialism. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 12, 2020.

Views on Economic Methodology (Table). Social Science Encyclopedia. June 8, 2020.

Edward Lazear on Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 16, 2020.

Friedrich Hayek’s The Pretence of Knowledge. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 6, 2020.

John Stuart Mill’s On the Definition of Political Economy and Method of Investigation Proper to It. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 26, 2020.

Lionel Robbins’ Scarcity Definition of Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. September 8, 2020.

Milton Friedman On Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 21, 2020.

Paul Krugman on Mathematics in Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 19, 2020.

Robert Shiller’s Views On Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 1, 2020.

William Stanley Jevons (Timeline). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2, 2021.

William Stanley Jevons’ A Brief Account of a General Mathematical Theory of Political Economy (1862). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2, 2021.

Political Philosophy

Libertarian Paternalism. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2019.

Correspondence Between Albert Einstein & Sigmund Freud on War and Human Nature. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 2, 2020.

Microeconomics

Behavioral Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 27, 2020.

Rational Choice Theory & Homo Economicus. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 20, 2020.


International Economics & Finance

Saudi Arabian Riyal. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 17, 2020.

Singapore Dollar. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 17, 2020.

The Theory of Optimal Currency Areas. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2020.


History of Economic Thought

John Maynard Keynes’ Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2020.

William Stanley Jevons (Works). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2020.


Finance

Types of Stock Market Orders. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 23, 2020.

 I Jailbroke ChatGPT And Asked It How To Beat The Market. Here’s What It Said. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 28, 2023.


Macroeconomics

Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 10, 2020.


American History

Fort Monroe. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

The Battle Over Alexander Hamilton’s Plan for Assumption of States’ Debts. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.

Bank of the United States. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.

Baltimore. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

Thomas Paine’s Common Sense. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 18, 2020.

Fort York. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.

Fort McHenry. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

Hampton, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

New Amsterdam. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 7, 2021.

Old Town, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

New York City. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.

Richmond, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

The World’s First Skyscrapers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

War of 1812. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.

Washington, D.C. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

The White House of the Confederacy. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.

When New York City Was America’s Capital. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.

Virginia State Capital Building. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

How Washington D.C. Became America’s Capital. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

Philadelphia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 29, 2020.

L’Enfant & the Designing of Washington D.C. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

Federal Hall. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.


British History

When John Stuart Mill Cited William Stanley Jevons in the House of Commons. Social Science Encyclopedia. January 24, 2021.


Canadian History

Jacques Cartier. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.


Caribbean History

Timeline: Caribbean Political & Economic Integration. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.


American Constitutional Law

The Necessary and Proper Clause of the U.S. Constitution & the Doctrine of Implied Powers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.

US Federal Government: Executive Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.

US Federal Government: Legislative Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.

US Federal Government: Judicial Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.

War Powers (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.

Impeachment (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. January 11, 2021.

The Federalist Papers on Impeachment. Social Science Encyclopedia. January 19, 2021.

Lobbyist Disclosure Forms (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 11, 2020.

U.S. Code. Social Science Encyclopedia. February 11, 2021.

Private Laws vs. Public Laws (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. July 22, 2020.

Pardon Powers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.

Federal Statute. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 22, 2020.

What is the Emoluments Clause? Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.

Electoral College. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.

12th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.


Caribbean Constitutional Law

Parliament of Saint Lucia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.


Other Positions

United Nations

Economic Research Intern, Department of Economic & Social Affairs (November 2016 - January 2017)

U.S. Congress

Intern, New York Congressional District 4 (September 2016 - October 2016)